Gracious-Spandex
0x5bb4a865e5a2b432b7c421bcc9e98560d477cb1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
6183 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-75.20
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
6062 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
4033 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
2756 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
2373 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
1706 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1396 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-51.24
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?
1289 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-220.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$101.00May 23, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$196.69May 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$89.19May 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$286.56May 14, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$21.93May 12, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$26.35May 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$48.20May 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$498.00May 9, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$20.70Feb 23, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$29.20Feb 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$34.20Feb 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$51.30Feb 18, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$10.06Feb 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?$10.07Feb 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?$10.31Feb 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?$9.00Feb 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?$1.49Feb 10, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?$3.73Feb 10, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?$3.73Feb 10, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $56.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".