Dimpled-Jodhpurs
0x5bbf6b95746641e4fa17af5f5259c0f3de88002f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$15.73
Win rate
64%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 14?
18700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C or higher on May 14?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?
6226 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 14?
5610 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?
4548 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 14?
4063 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 14?
2870 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 14?
2695 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C or higher on May 13?
2504 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 39°C or higher on May 13?
2482 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?$2.50May 21, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 17?$5.68May 21, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 15?$0.14May 17, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 14?$0.18May 17, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 15?$0.59May 17, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?$1.19May 17, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?$25.00May 17, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?$11.76May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 16?$14.40May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 16?$12.09May 17, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?$10.71May 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 16?$33.45May 17, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?$20.41May 17, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?$17.22May 17, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16?$15.14May 17, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?$10.60May 17, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?$23.75May 17, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?$11.71May 17, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on May 16?$30.01May 17, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?$9.99May 17, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.