Empty-Proximal
0x5bcb2e2fbc49b8451246ce69d53bb6c329d08c21
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-203.34
Win rate
33%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3220 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2195 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-104.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1912 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
1652 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
1612 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-134.00
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1279 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1266 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?
1209 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-116.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
911 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
898 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-103.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$31.21Jul 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$30.62Jul 11, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$99.36Jul 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$160.00Jul 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?$14.39Jul 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?$102.70Jul 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?$2.48Jul 1, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?$57.84Jun 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?$29.13Jun 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$26.42Jun 29, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.30Jun 29, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.26Jun 29, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.26Jun 29, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$77.28Jun 29, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$26.19Jun 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.34Jun 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.34Jun 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?$71.95Jun 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?$87.30Jun 29, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$210.22Jun 29, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
30 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $58.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.