Harsh-Substitution
0x5bcf785bb0fa5497fe2d3103369c2ce082d8ccff
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-2.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.06May 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.73May 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.06May 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.30May 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.06May 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.13May 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.23May 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.10May 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.25May 22, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$0.00May 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.28May 22, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.32May 22, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.02May 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.27May 22, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$11.11May 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.19May 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$6.65May 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.17May 22, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00May 22, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$7.60May 22, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".