Instructive-Dude
0x5bd972498a0f1a2d701928dc59d8cf5669e8f138
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.58
Total PnL
$-276.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
145 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-10.42
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
206 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
100 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
73 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
63 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?$30.00Feb 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?$24.90Feb 2, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$70.00Jan 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$54.60Jan 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.38Jan 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$10.50Jan 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Jan 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$11.20Jan 24, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$45.45Jan 22, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$25.00Jan 21, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$11.00Jan 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$35.00Jan 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Jan 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $26.00Jan 11, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$20.00Jan 9, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $20.00Jan 8, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$40.00Jan 4, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 4, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$0.00Jan 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12AM ET$1.00Jan 2, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $20.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.