Verifiable-Gift
0x5bdfdbccbd6911d66ce0a1c16118a276f383c40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.29
Total PnL
$-19.20
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?
1086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?
1073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?
1066 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?
1062 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.37
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?
1057 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 1?
1057 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 26?
1028 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01May 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.08May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01May 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.24May 5, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.04May 4, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.42May 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.03Apr 22, 07:47 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Apr 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.34Apr 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?$2.17Mar 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?$2.11Mar 14, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?$3.20Feb 15, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.02Feb 9, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?$3.22Feb 9, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?$6.37Feb 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 2, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.01Feb 2, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $346.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".