Wallet digest

active

Activity score

68/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$114.54

Total PnL

$-16.20

Realised

$-0.05

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

NO
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
53 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$52.16
$-0.08
NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
16 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$14.56
$0.56
NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 21?
8 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$8.20
$0.21
NO
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
10 shares @ 71.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$7.95
$0.95
NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$6.81
$-0.19
NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$5.66
$0.66
NO
SBF released from custody in 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$5.51
$0.51
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$5.41
$0.43
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
3 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$3.14
$0.14
NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 21?
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$2.60
$0.19

Recent activity

YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity44 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk58 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 3
Avg trade size: $5.14
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 20, 09:51 UTC
Last active: Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 07:24:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data