Mundane-Figurine
0x5bfbf3d9098152ad351e3935f8ea65cd86887632
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$34.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
2557 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-609.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2535 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
1991 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-235.55
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
781 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-480.51
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
324 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-236.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 7?
233 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-64.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 5?
195 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4AM ET
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
147 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$238.65Jun 15, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$238.71Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$222.47Jun 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$218.12Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$200.50Jun 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$480.51Feb 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$110.00Feb 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$10.00Feb 28, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$391.31Feb 28, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$8.50Feb 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$53.58Feb 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$71.36Feb 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$286.73Feb 28, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$289.04Feb 28, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $258.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.