Instructive-Grease
0x5c05e2fbd9c4536a464c44e55fd73c631dc9457b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2PM ET
2434 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 9AM ET
621 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-461.94
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 4, 9PM ET
582 shares @ 73.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-425.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 4, 9PM ET
561 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-380.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 1PM ET
537 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-366.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ET
534 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-395.71
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 1PM ET
500 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-299.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ET
500 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-237.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1PM ET
483 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11PM ET
442 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-284.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$437.92Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.41Jun 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.3KJun 9, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$963.50Jun 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$58.29Jun 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$58.71Jun 8, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 8AM ET$233.36Jan 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 7, 7AM ET$233.36Jan 7, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 7, 7AM ET$155.67Jan 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 7, 7AM ET$38.28Jan 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3PM ET$193.95Jan 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3PM ET$144.98Jan 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2PM ET$144.97Jan 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2PM ET$89.98Jan 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET$89.98Jan 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET$50.41Jan 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1PM ET$6.93Jan 6, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12PM ET$57.34Jan 6, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12PM ET$36.74Jan 6, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 12PM ET$33.87Jan 6, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $217.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.