Muddy-Inside
0x5c070121588e2652642661f43c83fe19a1ae3a0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-366.18
Realised
$-15.53
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- OVER
Konyaspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5
1576 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- OVER
Konyaspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5
1576 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will The Life Of A Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will The Art Of Loving by Olivia Dean be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will DINASTIA by Peso Pluma & Tito Double P be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will So Close To What by Tate McRae be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- OVER
Konyaspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5
1192 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Konyaspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to Score
1192 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$3.42Mar 9, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.50Mar 9, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$2.07Mar 9, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$3.25Mar 9, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.59Mar 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.58Mar 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$4.61Mar 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.23Mar 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$4.73Mar 9, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.90Mar 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.98Mar 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.01Mar 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.59Mar 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$6.48Mar 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$4.94Mar 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$7.56Mar 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.49Mar 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.50Mar 9, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.58Mar 9, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.