Inconsequential-Platinum
0x5c0af092b533934008144d223d704b4cbebfa2c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$487.78
Total PnL
$-86.70
Realised
$168.78
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will anyone say "Pillow" during Big Brother E12?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$78.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?
48 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$41.61
$-1.94
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$34.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?
48 shares @ 75.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$32.88
$-3.12
- NO
Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.50
$-24.50
- NO
Will Warsh say "Spending" during July Press Conference?
97 shares @ 60.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$32.37
$-25.60
- NO
Will Warsh say "Progress" during July Press Conference?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$30.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) beat quarterly earnings?
70 shares @ 64.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$28.00
$-16.80
- NO
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
120 shares @ 26.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$26.40
$-4.80
- YES
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?
88 shares @ 49.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.44
$-20.68
Recent activity
- REWARD$541.29Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?$31.20Jul 28, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$14.40Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- MERGEIran full airspace closure by August 31?$69.00Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$13.60Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.40Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$38.61Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$29.92Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.52Jul 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?$31.68Jul 28, 22:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$120.00Jul 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$64.80Jul 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$56.40Jul 28, 22:46 UTC
- MERGEIran full airspace closure by August 31?$82.00Jul 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$54.12Jul 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$28.70Jul 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$0.01Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- MERGEIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$75.00Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$17.25Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$58.50Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $30.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.