Real-Variation
0x5c1ade7a18fd48476b820f6d6c70dacde19a2b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-292.25
Realised
$-11.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
272 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-212.10
- NORWAY
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?
53 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-42.85
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?$42.85Feb 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWinter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?$42.85Feb 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?$40.49Feb 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWinter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?$40.49Feb 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?$49.53Feb 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$49.53Feb 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$47.61Feb 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$47.61Feb 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$35.65Feb 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$19.99Feb 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$8.49Feb 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$10.00Feb 5, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$10.00Feb 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?$10.00Feb 4, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 4, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$17.00Feb 4, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$23.53Feb 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$20.00Feb 3, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.32Feb 3, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?$1.32Feb 1, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $26.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.