Bossy-Leopard
0x5c1b684663197328d64ef9254840fa745bd3d915
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.15
Total PnL
$-847.43
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
90%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.15
$4.35
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or higher on April 24?
1070 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?
528 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-58.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 11?
478 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 1?
319 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 23?
312 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 22?
310 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$10.00Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?$0.67Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?$0.33Jul 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?$0.54Jul 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?$0.16Jul 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?$2.60Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?$1.45Jul 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 28?$2.18Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$8.40Jul 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?$0.13Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?$3.84Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$10.00Jul 28, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$0.05Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$9.25Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 28?$0.07Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?$1.46Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?$8.89Jul 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$3.20Jul 28, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 96 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
96 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.