Dual-Sensibility
0x5c20cd78c0f16e779fa3b8b99261637e3840439b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
173
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-992.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?
167 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$167.33
$4.21
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 21?
165 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$165.23
$1.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?
165 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$165.22
$2.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?
164 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$164.29
$1.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on July 21?
164 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$164.03
$0.90
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 22?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$99.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 21?
44 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$43.67
$0.43
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 22?
36 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$35.99
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 12?
13800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 21?
213 shares @ 99.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-211.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 22?$35.90Jul 22, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 22?$99.05Jul 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 21?$163.74Jul 22, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 21?$32.80Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 21?$10.47Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?$61.98Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?$24.86Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?$71.01Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on July 21?$163.18Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?$5.35Jul 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$2.35Jul 21, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?$19.03Jul 21, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$30.71Jul 21, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$9.81Jul 21, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$120.46Jul 21, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?$5.79Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?$5.97Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?$14.87Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?$136.63Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 21?$461.29Jul 21, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $52.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.