Capital-Sugar
0x5c27aa8edf662d06b625925f82ff0d2f4fc4bdb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$485.31
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
620 shares @ 78.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$620.45
$135.99
- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
704 shares @ 49.8¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$549.31
$198.75
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$100.00
$3.30
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
36962 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
11254 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
9944 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.0K
- NO
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
5268 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-735.51
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
4720 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
4288 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
4106 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-548.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.29Jan 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$1.31Jan 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.04Jan 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.29Jan 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.82Jan 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.64Jan 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.66Jan 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$37.52Jan 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$16.00Jan 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$16.00Jan 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$10.40Jan 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$59.94Jan 18, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$9.35Jan 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.87Jan 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$15.07Jan 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$72.64Jan 17, 01:49 UTC
- REWARD$2.21Jan 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$89.91Jan 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$21.62Jan 16, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$1.66Jan 16, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.