Decimal-Light
0x5c2956099d77137c3dc5f0321f9214ff891ed822
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$24.34
Total PnL
$-42.34
Realised
$301.35
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
705 shares @ 17.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.52
$-114.75
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 54.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$1.74
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.07
$3.57
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
5 shares @ 23.4¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$2.84
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-1.93
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 14.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.27
- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 13.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.61
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
2521 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.66
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
1408 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$5.00May 13, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$5.00May 13, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$10.00May 13, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$30.01May 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?$1.30Apr 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?$2.59Apr 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.53Apr 28, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.94Apr 28, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$15.00Apr 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.87Apr 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.88Apr 27, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$4.59Apr 27, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$0.46Apr 27, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$9.58Apr 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.74Apr 26, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.85Apr 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.22Apr 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.40Apr 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.55Apr 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.28Apr 26, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.