Hurtful-Eviction
0x5c38606887b6dbf1e2ff44f6a07d439fd99e5f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$29.00
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
19000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
3261 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-35.87
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3031 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?
1700 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-27.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
1520 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-28.88
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
501 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Calin Georgescu arrested in 2024?
250 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-28.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$10.00May 20, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?$24.00May 20, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$30.91May 20, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek R2 released before May?$39.49May 20, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$3.7KMay 4, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in April?$2.12Apr 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in April?$5.08Apr 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$0.05Apr 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in April?$4.96Mar 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in April?$6.80Mar 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in April?$6.88Mar 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$2.88Mar 24, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$14.79Mar 24, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$4.96Mar 24, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$5.12Mar 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$5.04Mar 24, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$4.64Mar 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?$4.80Mar 24, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$78.64Mar 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?$4.16Mar 23, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.