Immense-Facelift
0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7M
Realised
$208.61
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
939998 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-457.7K
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
796933 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-421.3K
- YES
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
519999 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-311.5K
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
515890 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.5K
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
392880 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-196.8K
- EGYPT
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
371618 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.2K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
317853 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-197.4K
- YES
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
279392 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-139.7K
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
250587 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-27.6K
- YES
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
204876 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-96.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.58Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.0KJul 20, 01:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$327.75Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$618.49Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$30.88Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$174.0KJul 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$8.6KJul 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$21.8KJul 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$25.56Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$56.78Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$239.66Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$14.40Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$33.58Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$4.26Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$16.22Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$17.04Jul 19, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$64.74Jul 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$81.87Jul 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$81.12Jul 19, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$707.5K
Trades
3
Buy share
93%
Window
Jun 12, 18:30 UTC → Jul 14, 15:58 UTC
- BUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$51.8K@58¢Jul 2, 22:57 UTC
- BUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$72.6K@53¢Jun 25, 16:37 UTC
- BUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$31.1K@43¢Jun 24, 01:06 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 15 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$51.8K
1 trades
Buy share
93%
Sample
medium
15 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
$167.8K · 24% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $806.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.