Lumbering-Impediment
0x5c3f2bd80a10ed3e4140f1394aa67eef767a699f
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$294.42
Total PnL
$-20.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$101.11
$1.11
- NO
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.97
$0.97
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.15
$0.15
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
11 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.12
$1.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
24 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$40.59Mar 28, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?$50.06Mar 25, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$50.00Mar 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?$50.00Mar 24, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?$50.56Mar 24, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?$50.00Mar 22, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?$50.05Mar 22, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 22?$50.30Mar 22, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$30.00Mar 22, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$100.00Mar 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 22?$50.00Mar 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?$50.00Mar 22, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?$50.10Mar 22, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 20?$100.40Mar 22, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 20?$100.00Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?$50.00Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 19?$50.05Mar 20, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$50.05Mar 20, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?$50.15Mar 20, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?$50.20Mar 20, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $51.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.