0x5c4f419cffb6d48e90d5d6659989dbb507e53338
0x5c4f419cffb6d48e90d5d6659989dbb507e53338
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$121.99
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-434.29
Win rate
4%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
91 shares @ 10.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$91.49
$81.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$14.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
85 shares @ 0.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.65
$7.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.00
$3.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.75
$1.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$59.813h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1.294h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$7.406h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$0.637h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$3.447h ago
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026?$100.007h ago
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$100.007h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.022d ago
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets April 30 - May 2, 2026?$0.602d ago
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.032d ago
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.022d ago
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$0.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$19.607d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$34.407d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$36.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$36.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$8.508d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$2.309d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".