Probable-Quadrant
0x5c513f3a030fb510f82aa458519e74f40f256f93
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.74
Total PnL
$-785.89
Realised
$-18.22
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$28.49
$0.49
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 8.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$-1.85
- BBL ESPORTS
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
368 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-175.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
202 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-89.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
188 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
183 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$28.60May 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.47May 11, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.11May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.27May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.36May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$14.37May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$16.69May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$16.94May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$17.86May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$17.87May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$18.52May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$19.23May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$21.30May 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$80.00May 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.50Apr 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.50Apr 25, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.50Apr 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.50Apr 25, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.06Apr 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.04Apr 25, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".