Sneaky-Grandparent
0x5c53fd4b3415a60f696c7f4d321c4313c2f28c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$534.28
Total PnL
$54.75
Realised
$38.56
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?
402 shares @ 0.3¢·now 25.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$100.86
$99.69
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6239 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$59.27
$-14.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7881 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$51.23
$-13.90
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3909 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$44.95
$14.57
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5952 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$38.69
$-13.34
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4269 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$27.75
$0.61
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3508 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$26.31
$14.81
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8083 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.21
$-48.69
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3901 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$17.55
$-3.08
- YES
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.12
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.01Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.02Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.02Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.32Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.10Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.78Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.48Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?$0.06Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.22Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.