Same-Perch
0x5c55279554d9c0b1025516b42c50ab83d8b0ddfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.89
Total PnL
$-466.12
Realised
$-6.39
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?
10 shares @ 1.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.49
$0.32
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?
156 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.39
$-81.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 10?
668 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 10?
319 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?
257 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 9?
207 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 6?
191 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.57
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 12?
168 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.11
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 10?
161 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-43.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.07Jul 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?$0.18Jul 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$1.00Jul 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$1.00Jul 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$1.00Jul 12, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$7.14Jul 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$7.00Jul 12, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$5.80Jul 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$29.84Jul 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$14.65Jul 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$14.27Jul 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 13?$32.41Jul 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 13?$6.85Jul 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.03Jul 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.03Jul 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.06Jul 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?$3.48Jul 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?$43.63Jul 12, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.