Clean-Lute
0x5c56e85f00dfa82ce2f012dd55aba063403587ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.86
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 11?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 11?
51 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Danny Willett finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Takumi Kanaya finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
50 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?
50 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will anyone say "Prayer" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?
30 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.85Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMoonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$46.15Jul 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$46.45Jul 20, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 20?$19.00Jul 20, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$0.22Jul 20, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by July 31?$0.50Jul 20, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$0.07Jul 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by July 31?$0.60Jul 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$0.17Jul 20, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$0.10Jul 20, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 20?$8.75Jul 20, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 20?$10.07Jul 20, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?$0.06Jul 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?$0.06Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21, 2026?$0.50Jul 20, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AQI at the World Cup final be 120 or higher?$0.04Jul 20, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by July 31?$0.30Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 20?$0.05Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$1.25Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$18.53Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.