Cavernous-Anyone
0x5c5aa8d9dd46b3a5ea55c0e22f2b6e88c895aabe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$370.14
Total PnL
$-60.43
Realised
$27.60
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
124 shares @ 51.8¢·now 53.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$65.53
$1.53
- NO
Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?
55 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$54.64
$12.93
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
47 shares @ 91.3¢·now 88.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.51
$-1.36
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.69
$9.69
- NO
Will Sheri Biggs win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$31.47
$1.74
- YES
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 29.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$29.88
$9.88
- NO
Will Mark Sanford win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
31 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$29.87
$0.64
- YES
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.44
$1.84
- NO
Will Henry McMaster win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$17.60
$1.03
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.10
$4.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$13.36Jul 29, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$20.84Jul 29, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$51.26Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$10.35Jul 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$31.07Jul 29, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$7.29Jul 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$3.98Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$17.82Jul 28, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$17.88Jul 28, 05:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$10.23Jul 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$12.26Jul 27, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$2.41Jul 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$15.26Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$15.49Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$0.49Jul 27, 09:22 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$38.16Jul 26, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$11.67Jul 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$20.86Jul 25, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $18.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.