0x5c609372510fe30e09e929b902e026cf15e5df47
0x5c609372510fe30e09e929b902e026cf15e5df47
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$61.72
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
763 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
591 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
572 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
471 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
437 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
291 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.29Jul 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.24Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.24Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.23Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.22Jul 20, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$26.57Jul 20, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.54Jul 20, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4.24Jul 20, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$6.22Jul 20, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$12.77Jul 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.22Jul 20, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$6.22Jul 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$6.22Jul 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$4.04Jul 20, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.63Jul 20, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$12.71Jul 20, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$6.22Jul 20, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.40Jul 20, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.