0x5c6544e54866c15180d6aab83c971fb59db03dc8
0x5c6544e54866c15180d6aab83c971fb59db03dc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.44
Total PnL
$-9.99
Realised
$-7.11
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$3.44
$2.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
23 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
6 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Jan 25, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 19, 6PM ET$0.00Jan 23, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Jan 21, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.26Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.02Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.32Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.36Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.93Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.79Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.03Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$15.60Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$7.02Jan 20, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$7.89Jan 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$4.18Jan 20, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$1.16Jan 20, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET$5.76Jan 20, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET$0.00Jan 20, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jan 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET$1.44Jan 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.95Jan 20, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.