Verifiable-Insect
0x5c65e8bef869c72dae68ee2b410477efc50aea2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-11.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.21
$0.01
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will PNR win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?$2.10Jul 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$2.00Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.20Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$2.20Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$2.30Jul 25, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.90Jul 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?$1.60Jul 22, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $700 in July?$1.70Jul 3, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?$57.96Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?$57.90Jul 1, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in May?$4.04Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.02Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.01May 31, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.01May 31, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.01May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?$2.01May 30, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$4.01May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?$3.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?$2.00May 25, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.