Scarce-Doorbell-Viability
0x5c679ad44e7c57822c8890ce6084d50db50463b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$229.32
Win rate
3%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
9012 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
5511 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
5164 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
4617 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
3901 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
3517 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
3476 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-989.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
2730 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
2659 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
2261 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-949.99
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$92.48Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$10.48Jul 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$179.01Jul 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$138.71Jul 11, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$313.12Jul 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$304.12Jul 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$11.14Jul 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$31.93Jul 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$31.34Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$31.32Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$37.85Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$481.21Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$518.66Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$234.15Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$285.40Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$171.53Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$346.48Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$234.19Jul 11, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
38 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $307.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.