Great-Mantel
0x5c68aa9e863a5cdc9307ed207fb954be63ad2fa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.51
Total PnL
$-17.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
415 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.51
$1.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
8937 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
5999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
4937 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3937 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.05Mar 25, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 25, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$3.00Mar 25, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.06Mar 25, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 5, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.00Feb 5, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$3.00Feb 5, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.02Feb 5, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Feb 5, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 5, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$2.07Feb 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.00Dec 2, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$2.00Nov 26, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$48.00Nov 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$50.00Nov 17, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$3.9KNov 8, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $678.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.