Skinny-Cyclamen-Discount
0x5c71d7fac1805b311d616b7cd9a272f9dceab76a
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$14.30
Total PnL
$-172.13
Realised
$-6.43
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.94
$-3.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?
1159 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
318 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
81 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $15.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.