Unsightly-Buck
0x5c788b99288b0594bbc785414da4d546e11e80a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-512.60
Realised
$-8.15
Win rate
7%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 24?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 25?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?$9.61Jul 31, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?$0.43Jul 31, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?$4.23Jul 31, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?$40.10Jul 31, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?$4.60Jul 31, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 31?$51.44Jul 31, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 31?$50.07Jul 31, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 31?$24.97Jul 31, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 31?$24.52Jul 31, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 30?$6.92Jul 30, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 30?$10.21Jul 30, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 30?$14.32Jul 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 30?$16.45Jul 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$3.66Jul 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?$25.09Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$5.70Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 27?$50.45Jul 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 27?$50.02Jul 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?$51.49Jul 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?$50.07Jul 27, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
30 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $25.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.