Authorized-Teriyaki
0x5c84d9d6f7d3058660eec8e12ae7a46066a6010c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.97
Total PnL
$-2.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
X Money released by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$0.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.78
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.74
$0.02
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.72
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.44
$0.01
- NO
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.34Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.30Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.34Jul 11, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.25Jul 11, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$1.35Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$1.34Jul 5, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?$1.17Jul 2, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?$1.16Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 29?$1.14Jun 30, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on June 29?$1.14Jun 29, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 29?$1.14Jun 29, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on June 29?$1.14Jun 29, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?$1.16Jun 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?$1.16Jun 29, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.06Jun 16, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.02Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.04Jun 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?$1.02Jun 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYX Money released by May 31, 2026?$2.74Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.72May 9, 03:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.