Innocent-Cribbage
0x5c858b8c86cb84295d4ad2ae8428e4c28b3f7980
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$-5.3K
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
781 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-234.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
500 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-132.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
402 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-209.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
351 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-183.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
347 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-132.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
346 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-107.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
327 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-135.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
266 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-146.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
254 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-133.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.50Jul 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.04Jul 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$21.25Jul 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$11.37Jul 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.19Jul 1, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.26Jul 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.04Jul 1, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.09Jul 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$20.38Jul 1, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.36Jul 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.28Jul 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$46.58Jul 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$31.03Jul 1, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$10.35Jul 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.05Jul 1, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$36.18Jun 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$18.62Jun 13, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.13Jun 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.04Jun 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.66Jun 13, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.