Last-Bloomer
0x5c93f409165ba47354148fd48f147df45ff5436a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-285.05
Win rate
0%
137 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
2182 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-959.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 3?
1982 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-182.32
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 5?
1429 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-28.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 3?
1116 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 6?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on July 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?
977 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?
932 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-729.99
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 4?
592 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-131.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 4?
562 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-168.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 12?$2.70Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 137 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
137 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 137 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.