Concrete-Handholding-Maintainer
0x5c98e80266e6980475511bb3ee81911594eb6c55
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
636 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$636.00
$68.86
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
293 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$292.51
$5.85
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
269 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$268.50
$8.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$286.89Jul 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$260.24Jul 16, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$569.60Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$20.61Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$200.00Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$296.00Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$300.00Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$300.00Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$288.03Jun 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$199.62Jun 11, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$20.55Jun 11, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$299.44Jun 11, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$279.78Jun 11, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$112.11Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$125.63Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$125.85Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$140.74Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$260.78Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$322.26Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.00May 10, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $236.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.