Dense-Sympathy
0x5c9cdfc297441ebecf34fc10b1d1c3374fbc0a4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.64
Total PnL
$-257.28
Realised
$-13.91
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 12?
1210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?
153 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-124.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 16?
140 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 12?
95 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
73 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 43.0 on January 9, 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 10?
50 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
40 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$7.52Jan 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$7.52Jan 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$7.25Jan 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$7.25Jan 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$6.83Jan 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$6.83Jan 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$7.10Jan 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$7.10Jan 23, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$6.13Jan 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$0.13Jan 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$6.00Jan 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$5.24Jan 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$5.24Jan 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$4.75Jan 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$4.75Jan 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$4.10Jan 23, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$4.10Jan 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$3.33Jan 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$3.33Jan 23, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?$2.92Jan 23, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.