Unfortunate-Nod
0x5ca31437ed05824a9d841dc9ea2cdcfb6369bcb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.91
Total PnL
$-76.44
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$5.91
$2.89
- YES
Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
5824 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
3580 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $490b and $500b on December 31?
1582 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?
1576 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.46
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
1403 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.01
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
401 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.61
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
300 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
90 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
27 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$3.06Jan 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.60Jan 28, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$35.99Jan 28, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$6.79Jan 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.94Jan 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$8.64Jan 27, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$8.55Jan 27, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$8.55Jan 27, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$4.92Jan 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.75Jan 20, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$9.00Jan 4, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$11.00Jan 4, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$7.59Dec 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$8.95Dec 23, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Raptors$4.99Dec 23, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 21?$5.00Dec 23, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Pelicans$9.00Dec 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$3.85Dec 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.28Dec 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.37Dec 21, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".