Monstrous-Tailor
0x5ca7e46f9377e2101aab6888cbfc4708c787e3e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$114.08
Total PnL
$-65.07
Realised
$-0.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
19 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.47
$0.59
- YES
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.18
$4.87
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$10.03
$0.09
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of July 6 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$8.99
$3.92
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.60
$-0.39
- NO
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
9 shares @ 71.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$7.47
$0.76
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 81.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.14
$-0.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.73
$1.31
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.55
$1.55
- YES
Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
31 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.36
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?$5.38Jul 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?$5.62Jul 8, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?$5.77Jul 8, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.55Jul 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$5.09Jul 8, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$1.35Jul 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$8.05Jul 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$5.59Jul 7, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.70Jul 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$2.50Jul 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?$5.69Jul 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$3.18Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$5.56Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.25Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$4.86Jul 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.84Jul 7, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$1.25Jul 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$1.19Jul 7, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$2.13Jul 7, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$4.80Jul 7, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.