Playful-Chafe
0x5ca8170d9a62dd42f217d45d4b5a3ad2a01f1431
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$13.22
Total PnL
$-0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Corey Sawyer Jr. be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?$13.47Jul 4, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$20.00Jul 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$23.00Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?$10.99Jul 1, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$22.98Jun 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?$10.36Jun 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on June 28?$12.99Jun 29, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$12.00Jun 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on June 28?$11.83Jun 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$0.00Jun 27, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$0.01Jun 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$0.09Jun 27, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?$10.00Jun 27, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$0.02Jun 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?$11.89Jun 27, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?$14.00Jun 26, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?$0.19Jun 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?$9.82Jun 26, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?$14.00Jun 25, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?$0.02Jun 25, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.