Dapper-Company
0x5caf64f86dcecb69d060243ae446688752fe10ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$80.69
Total PnL
$-383.70
Realised
$-5.46
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12415 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$80.69
$-158.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
2519 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
321 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
85 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$236.76Aug 16, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.23Aug 16, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.27Aug 16, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.42Aug 16, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.63Aug 16, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.60Aug 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.84Aug 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.17Aug 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.19Aug 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.99Aug 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.30Aug 16, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$175.83Aug 16, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.02Aug 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.05Aug 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.17Aug 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.44Aug 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.38Aug 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$25.37Aug 16, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.