Circular-Alteration
0x5cb40df9709ccd3efc28eb65394d67ac730cd267
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.54
Total PnL
$-17.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
26 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
7 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.75May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.85May 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.03May 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.81May 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.81May 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.15May 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.15May 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.19May 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.00May 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 15, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$12.82May 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.21May 13, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$8.33May 13, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$6.94May 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.14May 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.10May 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.35May 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.33May 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Apr 26, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.