0x5cb52d943b7fd0e3771807fb84a7ea270a30af4c
0x5cb52d943b7fd0e3771807fb84a7ea270a30af4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.01
Total PnL
$-60.62
Realised
$-5.25
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (December 1 - 7)
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.01
$2.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?
354 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 30?
212 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.81
- PASSION UA
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs 3DMAX (BO1)
108 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 1-7?
35 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 2?
25 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- NO
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-02?
21 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" or "Venezuela" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?$1.78Dec 3, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?$1.00Dec 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?$0.66Dec 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.20 December 1-7?$1.44Dec 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Steven be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$2.93Dec 2, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $120 December 1-7?$2.69Dec 2, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 6?$3.39Dec 2, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$2.72Dec 2, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$3.00Dec 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?$3.22Dec 2, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$0.54Dec 2, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$3.30Dec 2, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$3.15Dec 2, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 6?$1.92Dec 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 6?$1.31Dec 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" or "Venezuela" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$3.77Dec 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" or "Venezuela" 15+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$3.12Dec 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.80 December 1-7?$3.15Dec 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 3?$2.48Dec 2, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?$0.72Dec 2, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.