Well-Informed-Ridge
0x5cb8165affd8de9f8a2943fda90245dfe73b7809
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$182.08
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-81.93
Win rate
17%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?
40 shares @ 56.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$21.80
$-0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 12?
24 shares @ 66.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$20.94
$5.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$18.20
$1.40
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?
22 shares @ 61.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$13.65
$0.32
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$13.40
$0.20
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.60
$1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$11.50
$-0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 12?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$10.90
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?
20 shares @ 43.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$10.80
$2.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$10.40
$1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 13?$5.29Aug 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 13?$7.48Aug 12, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?$20.00Aug 12, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?$36.75Aug 12, 01:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.65Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 13?$0.72Aug 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 13?$1.30Aug 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 13?$0.16Aug 12, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$9.67Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13?$0.47Aug 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 13?$9.73Aug 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?$12.40Aug 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 13?$2.26Aug 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13?$13.20Aug 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 13?$4.49Aug 11, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 13?$1.55Aug 11, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?$10.00Aug 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?$12.40Aug 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?$9.67Aug 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?$11.20Aug 11, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
67/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 84 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
84 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.