Smug-Sardine
0x5cb944057d275a9a27d0c20e2ac5504881fd6f67
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.33
Total PnL
$-1.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
1 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kimmel say "Thank you" 10+ times during return show on September 23?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$12.00Mar 7, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.02Mar 7, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?$1.09Mar 7, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$12.01Mar 7, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1.00Mar 7, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?$1.00Mar 7, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$12.00Jan 24, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?$1.00Jan 24, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$2.00Jan 24, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.22Jan 24, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.28Jan 24, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.02Jan 24, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$13.68Jan 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.00Dec 15, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$2.01Dec 15, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.05Dec 15, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$2.16Dec 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 23, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".