Willing-Harmonica
0x5cbce77ecf0c205c54f248de3ade096eec7c0edd
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$83.74
Total PnL
$-92.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
31 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$31.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.55
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?
11 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
40 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
14 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$31.00May 14, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$10.02May 14, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.01May 14, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$35.32May 14, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$12.50May 8, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$11.04May 7, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-10.5)$20.00May 7, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$35.02May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-10.5)$15.11May 7, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$11.11May 7, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$27.19May 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$27.01May 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$11.01May 3, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 22?$11.20May 3, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$20.10May 3, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 22?$27.23May 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 22?$27.00Apr 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 22?$11.00Apr 22, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$17.29Apr 22, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 10?$47.14Apr 22, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $14.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.