Trusting-Novel
0x5cc3035916fbbfddf801a4809af12f5ae6700e20
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-299.46
Win rate
37%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14286 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?
6458 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
291 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-69.77
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?
287 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
203 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
181 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-56.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
124 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
99 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
70 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-28.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CF América win on 2026-07-24? AND Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-24?$100.00Jul 24, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$106.23Jul 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$100.00Jul 14, 18:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$97.37Jun 23, 02:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$97.25Jun 22, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
37% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
35 closed markets, 37% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $73.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.