Weird-Election-Misfit
0x5cc466756257d0d9067bad088c3472c12f7134dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.14
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-37.53
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
428 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.14
$-207.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
388 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
281 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
270 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
139 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
87 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
18 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.20Aug 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.20Aug 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$103.50Aug 23, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$103.58Aug 23, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$217.07Aug 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.03Aug 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$100.63Aug 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$100.57Aug 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.00Aug 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$123.92Aug 23, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$101.35Aug 23, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.42Aug 23, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.25Aug 23, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.00Aug 23, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$140.94Aug 23, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$102.03Aug 23, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Aug 23, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$134.76Aug 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$25.81Aug 23, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$103.29Aug 23, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
32/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $83.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.