Mammoth-Gale
0x5cce14257842b8039a0514df264671de095e71ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.53
Realised
$68.30
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?
1417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 2?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?
159 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-33.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?
156 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-44.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?
135 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 3?
123 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 24?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?
44 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?
32 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?
26 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$10.02Jul 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$0.96Jul 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$2.06Jul 6, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$2.64Jul 6, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$4.08Jul 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$3.26Jul 6, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$3.08Jul 6, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$10.31Jul 5, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$10.01Jul 5, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?$10.53Jul 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?$10.02Jul 4, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?$0.75Jul 4, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?$0.65Jul 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?$3.12Jul 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?$2.06Jul 4, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$14.74Jul 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$4.01Jul 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$10.02Jul 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?$10.44Jul 3, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?$10.04Jul 3, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.