Gorgeous-Coffin
0x5ccf62ac8155e49bc7d021a1a66e9ef18f5579d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$59.2K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.8K
$6.3K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
10259 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.3K
$16.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
107610 shares @ 10.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.0K
$-3.9K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
6700 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$6.7K
$27.85
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
3414 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.4K
$26.94
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
2992 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.0K
$21.70
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
2500 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$-10.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.2K
$-6.3K
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
2003 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$29.84
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
1949 shares @ 83.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.5K
$-115.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$5.14Jul 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$15.14Jul 31, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$960.00Jul 31, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$492.50Jul 31, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$697.00Jul 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$20.00Jul 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$5.28Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.40Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$10.00Jul 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$32.00Jul 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$59.98Jul 31, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$2.50Jul 31, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.10Jul 31, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$17.51Jul 31, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$338.72Jul 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$214.14Jul 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$32.49Jul 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$959.51Jul 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?$17.40Jul 31, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$258.00Jul 31, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $159.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.